Rates on 30-year mortgages fell to a record low for the third straight
week, and borrowers took advantage of the drop, translating to high
numbers of new applications.
With the Federal Reserve
on the verge of pouring hundreds of billions of dollars into the
devastated U.S. housing market, mortgage rates have plunged to their
lowest level since Freddie Mac started tracking the data, in April 1971.
Low rates are a great opportunity for refinancers with solid credit and
plenty of equity. But those in danger of foreclosure are still
sidelined, and defaults are expected to keep rising.
Freddie Mac reported Wednesday that the average rate on 30-year,
fixed-rate mortgages dropped to 5.1 percent this week from the previous
record low, 5.14 percent, set last week.
It was the ninth straight weekly drop. Thirty-year rates have
plunged by about 1.4 percentage points since late October, according to
Freddie Mac's data. For a borrower taking out a $200,000 loan, that
means a savings of more than $170 in monthly payments, according to Frank E. Nothaft, the McLean mortgage finance company's chief economist.
Meanwhile, mortgage applications last week remained at the highest level in more than five years, the Mortgage Bankers Association said.
The trade group's weekly application index was essentially unchanged
for the week ended Dec. 26. Applications surged earlier this month to
the highest level since July 2003, when refinancing activity boomed at
the peak of the housing market.
More than 80 percent of applications came from borrowers looking to refinance at more affordable rates, the trade group said.
Interest rates have plunged since the Federal Reserve pledged last
month to buy up mortgage-backed securities in an effort to bolster the
long-suffering housing market.
Starting this month, The Fed will buy up to $500 billion in securities guaranteed by the government-controlled home-loan giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and of Ginnie Mae, a federal agency.
"It's a huge number," said Derek Chen, an analyst at Barclays Capital, who noted that mortgage rates are still high when compared with yields on long-term Treasury debt.
With the Fed and the Treasury Department
buying up a significant portion of the new mortgage securities issued
by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac next year, that gap, or spread, could
narrow.
If that happens, mortgage rates could fall further, possibly as low as 4.5 percent, Chen said.
The average rate on a 15-year, fixed-rate mortgage, a popular
refinancing tool, dropped to 4.83 percent this week, the lowest level
since March 2004. That rate was 4.91 percent last week, Freddie Mac
said.
Rates on five-year, adjustable-rate mortgages rose to 5.57 percent
from 5.49 percent. Rates on one-year adjustable mortgages fell to 4.85
percent from 4.95 percent.
The rates do not include add-on fees known as points. The nationwide
average fee for 30-year, 15-year and five-year mortgages was 0.7 point
last week, compared with 0.5 point for one-year adjustable mortgages.
[AP 1/3/09]